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A Night With Raf Manji: The Race For Ilam
A few weeks ago I attended Raf Manji's second public meeting in Ilam. My expectations were skeptical. What I found intrigued me.

Ellie Stevenson
Jul 26, 20234 min read


Lower The Threshold By A Rounding Error? Why Not Scrap This Barrier Altogether
I respond to the well thought out report on MMP from the other week by imploring our Parliament to, as a wise man once said, "go nut-nut".

Ellie Stevenson
Jul 9, 20233 min read


Running In The Wrong Directions: Strategise Better, Stupids
This election is important, and so you would think both major parties would be putting in their best bids to win the Treasury benches. Nah.

Ellie Stevenson
Jun 27, 202311 min read


It's the Last Chance Saloon for this Pack of Jokers
A headline to break Mike Hosking's pokerface with tears of joy. Labour have lost a lot of their top people: by now, who's left to govern?

Ellie Stevenson
Jun 9, 20239 min read


Ardern: The Personality, The Policy, The Power
A rather belated retrospective on Jacinda Ardern as Prime Minister - how she led and what she meant in what she said and who she was.

Ellie Stevenson
Jun 1, 202312 min read


Let's Get Ready To Rumble: The 2024 Republican Primary Grinds Into Gear
Although the outcome is not in too much doubt, the 2024 Republican primary is still attracting more candidates than expected. Let's looksee!

Ellie Stevenson
May 25, 202318 min read


A Night In The Club With Christopher Luxon
Okay first things first I want it known for the record that I didn't do that to the sign!!! Anyway: Ellie does amateur political journalism.

Ellie Stevenson
May 12, 202314 min read


Forget Coronation Street, The Soap Opera Is On Back Home In Aotearoa
A Minister has surprised everybody by changing parties. Three theories on why and thoughts on the impacts for Labour and Te Pāti Māori.

Ellie Stevenson
May 3, 20238 min read


TOP's Dead, Maybe. TOP's Dead.
I have no animus against TOP and I hope they make it into Parliament this year. Their new policy announcement...doesn't give me confidence.

Ellie Stevenson
Mar 29, 202319 min read


I Find A 6% Shift In The Top Tax Rate To Be Unusually Interesting
Grant Robertson raised the top tax bracket rate a few years ago for primarily political reasons. I explore the move, plus blog updates.

Ellie Stevenson
Mar 15, 20233 min read


JK III: JO II: JA
Audience, it's unofficially official: prepare to welcome the worst-dressed PM we've ever had. (It's that or brace for chaos.)

Ellie Stevenson
Jan 21, 20234 min read


John Keyed Again, Again: Part 2 On The Labour Leadership Race
Following up on yesterday: who's out the race, who benefits, what are the wings of Labour, and how will their showdown redefine the party?

Ellie Stevenson
Jan 20, 20236 min read


Is New Zealand A Second-Hand Car In A McDonald's Parking Lot At Night Near A Seedy Guy Called John?
'Cos we just got John Key'd again. No time to reflect on Jacinda's legacy - what'll the race to replace look like and who'll be our next PM?

Ellie Stevenson
Jan 19, 20238 min read


My Predictions For 2023
"What it is to have a great presence of mind and a crystal ball and not have to pay a cent for it." -Winston Peters.

Ellie Stevenson
Jan 16, 20237 min read


Reviewing Stuff's Predictions For 2023
Before I upload my own predictions for 2023, I'd like to look through Stuff's forecast and see how plausible it is. Come see how they did!

Ellie Stevenson
Jan 9, 20238 min read


The 2022 Awards Ceremony
A year in which nobody voted in local elections, I made some high-variance guesses, and [REDACTED] went on InfoWars and said [REDACTED]?!

Ellie Stevenson
Jan 2, 20237 min read


Favourite Articles of 2022
If you want to catch up on various bits and bobs that the media covered well in 2022, look no further than here for this year's collection.

Ellie Stevenson
Dec 28, 20225 min read


Labour's Spent
Without bias or hope, I believe that the Labour government is doomed at the next election. Let's document why, and how National could lose.

Ellie Stevenson
Dec 23, 202222 min read


Ready4Rish: He's as bad as the rest of the Tories, but his ascent is still a Big Deal
[Like many articles on here this may pop up as more recent than it was originally posted - for posterity's sake this went up 25/10/22....

Ellie Stevenson
Oct 25, 20228 min read


Russia Is Going To Beat Ukraine, And We Have No Idea What Happens Next
No, this isn't World War Three. This is still really, really bad. Once Putin has bossed Ukraine into submission, what will he do?

Ellie Stevenson
Feb 26, 20226 min read
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